Влияние инвестиций в строительную отрасль на региональную экономическую безопасность: пример малых и средних городов Китая

Гузикова Л.А.1 , Сян Ц.1 , Бай Б.1
1 Санкт-Петербургский политехнический университет Петра Великого, Санкт-Петербург, Россия

Статья в журнале

Экономическая безопасность (РИНЦ, ВАК)
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Том 9, Номер 1 (Январь 2026)

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Гузикова, Л. А. Влияние инвестиций в строительную отрасль на региональную экономическую безопасность: пример малых и средних городов Китая / Л. А. Гузикова, Ц. Сян, Б. Бай // Экономическая безопасность. – 2026. – Т. 9, № 1. – DOI 10.18334/ecsec.9.1.124342. – EDN RXZCDU.
Guzikova, L. A., Xiang, Z., Bai, B. (in press). (2026). Effect of construction industry investment on regional economic security: case of small and medium-sized cities in china. Economic security, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.18334/ecsec.9.1.124342

Аннотация:
Строительная отрасль является одним из важных секторов экономического развития страны. По сравнению с сельским хозяйством, промышленностью и сферой услуг, внимание к ней со стороны теоретиков явно недостаточно. Хотя такие дисциплины, как менеджмент, инженерия и экономика, проводили соответствующие исследования развития строительной отрасли и других отраслей с точки зрения своих дисциплин, исследований региональных различий в инвестициях в строительную отрасль и национальной экономической безопасности с региональной точки зрения по-прежнему мало. В данной статье исследуется с точки зрения региональной экономики механизм влияния строительной отрасли на региональную экономическую безопасность. Рассматривается концепция экономической безопасности, а также эффективность строительной отрасли и инвестиций. В исследовании используются панельные данные по 132 малым и средним городам Китая за период с 2010 по 2023 год, и модель с фиксированными эффектами и переменными коэффициентами для изучения влияния развития строительной отрасли на региональный рост. Анализ показывает сильную корреляцию между инвестициями и развитием строительной отрасли и экономическим ростом малых и средних городов, что демонстрирует значительное положительное влияние на региональное экономическое развитие в краткосрочной перспективе. Однако влияние развития строительной отрасли на региональный экономический рост существенно различается в разных регионах. Развитие строительной отрасли в Северо-Восточном Китае оказывает более сильное влияние на региональный экономический рост.

Ключевые слова: инвестиции в строительную отрасль, экономическая безопасность, региональная экономика, экономическое развитие, панельные данные с фиксированным эффектом и переменным коэффициентом

Источники:

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Effect of construction industry investment on regional economic security: case of small and medium-sized cities in china

Guzikova L.A., Xiang Z., Bai B.

Journal paper

Economic security
Volume 9, Number 1 (January 2026)

Citation:

Guzikova, L. A., Xiang, Z., & Bai, B. (in press). (2026). Effect of construction industry investment on regional economic security: case of small and medium-sized cities in china. Economic security, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.18334/ecsec.9.1.124342

Abstract:
The construction industry is one of the important sectors for a country's economic development. Compared with the agricultural, industrial and service sectors, the theoretical circle's attention to it is obviously insufficient. Although disciplines such as management, engineering, and economics have conducted relevant research on the development of the construction industry and others from their own disciplinary perspectives, there are still few studies on the regional differences in construction industry investment and national economic security from a regional perspective. Therefore, from the perspective of regional economy, this paper explores the influence mechanism of the construction industry on regional economic security. This paper reviews the concept of economic security and the performance of the construction industry and investment. This study utilises panel data from 132 small and medium-sized cities in China, spanning from 2010 to 2023, and using the fixed effects variable coefficient model to examine the influence of construction sector development on regional growth. The analysis indicates a strong correlation between investment and development in the construction industry and the economic growth of small and medium-sized cities, demonstrating a considerable positive impact on regional economic development in the short term. However, the impact effect of the development of the construction industry on regional economic growth varies greatly in different regions. The development of the construction industry in Northeast China has a greater impact on regional economic growth.

Keywords: construction industry investment, economic security, regional economy, economic development, fixed effect variable coefficient panel data

JEL-classification: L70, L74, L79, E22, R10

References:

Buzan B. (1991). New patterns of global security in the twenty-first century International Affairs. 67 (3). 431-451. doi: 10.2307/2621945.

Cai H. (2022). Basic categories and evaluation of China´s economic security under open conditions Journal of Beijing Technology and Business University (Social Science Edition). 4 1-10.

Cerny P.G. (2003). Globalization and the changing logic of collective action Beijing: Peking University Press.

Gu H., Duan Q., Huo S., et al. (2015). China economic security annual report: Monitoring and early warning China: China Renmin University Press.

Guo Z. (1993). Economic security issues and Clinton administration´s foreign policy Peace and Development. (02). 34-37.

Hacker J.S., Huber G.A., Nichols A., Rehm P., Schlesinger M., Valletta R., Craig S. (2014). The economic security index: A new measure for research and policy analysis Review of Income and Wealth. 60 5-32.

Hudson W. (1996). Economic Security for All: How To End Poverty In The United States New York: Economic Security Project.

Jiang M., Jiang C.L. (2007). Analysis of the co-integration relationship between China´s construction industry and national economic growth Construction Economics. 11 46-48.

Jin W.X., Zhang W.Y. (2001). Analysis of the pillar industry status of China´s construction industry Construction Economics. 8 6-9.

Li X.G., Li Q.M., Deng X.P. (2007). Analysis and empirical research on influencing factors of China´s construction industry economic growth Construction Economics. 5 1-5.

Liu J. (2017). Risk management of financing construction investment projects Engineering Management. 29 15-23.

Wang X., Lu R. (2009). Short-term effects and long-term impacts of the 4 trillion investment plan under the crisis Journal of Sun Yat-sen University (Social Science Edition). 49 (04). 180-188.

Wei X.Y., Lin Z.Y. (2004). Analysis of the industrial status and development level of China´s construction industry Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology. 1 124-128.

Yang Y.Z. (2009). An empirical analysis of regional structural economic fluctuations in China´s construction industry Management World. 12 178-179.

Ye Y.X. (2007). Analysis of technological progress in China´s construction industry China Population, Resources and Environment. 1 44-49.

Zheng C.D., Liu S. (2011). Analysis of carbon emissions and economic growth based on spatial econometrics China Population, Resources and Environment. 5 80-86.

Zhou J.H., Yuan H.P. (2007). Evaluation of construction industry economic benefit based on factor and cluster analysis Construction Economics. 12 46-49.