Человеческий капитал в эпоху геоэкономической фрагментации: тенденции, последствия, риски и перспективы развития

Научное издание / монография

Выпущено ООО «Первое экономическое издательство»

Исследование выполнено за счет гранта Российского научного фонда № 23-78-10165, https://rscf.ru/project/23-78-10165/.

Цитировать книгу:
Черненко Илья Михайлович, Колясников Максим Сергеевич, Земзюлина Вероника Юрьевна, Семенова Ирина Игоревна Человеческий капитал в эпоху геоэкономической фрагментации: тенденции, последствия, риски и перспективы развития. М.:Первое экономическое издательство, 2024. – 288 с. – ISBN: 978-5-91292-515-3 – doi: 10.18334/9785912925153

Аннотация:
В монографии рассматриваются тенденции, риски и перспективы развития человеческого капитала в условиях геоэкономической фрагментации и перехода мировой экономики от Индустрии 4.0 к Индустрии 5.0. В условиях поляризации геополитических интересов выделяются блоки стран и анализируются стратегии адаптации национальных систем образования и здравоохранения. Исследование развивает концепцию социальной надежности и обозначает ее роль в обеспечении адаптации в условиях ограниченного роста. Рассматриваются вопросы измерения и определения детерминант субъективного благополучия посредством инвестиций в человеческий капитал. Показано, что геоэкономическая фрагментация создает исключительно угрозы и риски для накопленного человеческого капитала, образовательных стратегий населения и капитала здоровья. В долгосрочном периоде изоляция создает угрозу для благополучия будущих поколений и приводит к стагнации национального рынка труда, а качество накопленного человеческого капитала будет являться основным фактором, замедляющим рост российской экономики в ближайшие десятилетия при сохранении ресурсной ренты в структуре доходов. Выводы дополняются практическими рекомендациями для представителей государства, бизнеса и академического сообщества, направленными на создание резильентной и адаптируемой рабочей силы, ориентированной на решение проблем фрагментированной глобальной экономики.

Ключевые слова: человеческий капитал, геополитическая фрагментация, цифровизация, устойчивое развитие, анализ, надежность, комплексный подход, эффективность, рынок труда, риск

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