Prospects for the integration of the Greater Eurasian Partnership into the global economy and related challenges

Dudin M.N.1, Usmanov D.I.1
1 Институт проблем рынка Российской академии наук, Russia

Journal paper

Journal of Central Asia Economy (РИНЦ, ВАК)
опубликовать статью | оформить подписку

Volume 6, Number 3 (July-september 2022)

Citation:

Indexed in Russian Science Citation Index: https://elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=50020792
Cited: 2 by 07.12.2023

Abstract:
The article is devoted to the study of the prospects for the integration of the Greater Eurasian Partnership into the global economy and related challenges. The main arguments in favor of the successful integration of the Greater Eurasian Partnership are the formation of a holistic trade and economic mega-education with well-established chains of production, logistics and financial flows, the convergence of the existing innovation infrastructure of the EAEU and intellectual capital with the financial capabilities of Chinese funds and corporations and the accumulated database of patents and experience in commercialization of new technologies. This will not only deepen cooperation between the countries, but also increase mutual investment cooperation. The authors identified the main threats to the integration of the Greater Eurasian Partnership into the world economy in conditions of global uncertainty. They are as follows: internal contradictions associated with a significant gap in the economic development of countries (especially compared to China); resistance of the centers of power represented by the United States and the EU, which with the help of soft power tools will try to hinder the integration processes; aggravation of the problem of countering and protecting the GEP from the intensification of cyber aggression on critical and financial infrastructure in order to disrupt the stability of functioning and incite internal conflicts; increasing risks of blurring the borders of the state sovereignty of the member states, especially in the context of the desire to introduce a single settlement currency and the creation of single markets.

Keywords: Great Eurasian Partnership, EAEU, digital economy, digital maturity, development inequality, interests conjugation, integration, challenges and threats, innovations, sanctions, continental union, balance of interests

Funding:
статья подготовлена в рамках государственного задания ИПР РАН, 2022 год, тема НИР «Моделирование процессов обеспечения устойчивого и сбалансированного социально-экономического и пространственного развития России и стран ближнего зарубежья в целях формирования Большого евразийского партнерства»

JEL-classification: О19, O33, O38, O49

References:

Evraziyskiy ekonomicheskiy soyuz v tsifrakh: Evraziyskaya ekonomicheskaya komissiya [The Eurasian Economic Union in numbers: The Eurasian Economic Commission] (2021). (in Russian).

Arkhipova V.V., Panteleev A.A. (2020). EAES i strategicheskie initsiativy KNR v kontekste rossiyskikh realiy [The EAEU and Chinese strategic initiatives in the context of Russian realities]. Modern Europe. (3). 96-107. (in Russian).

Balance of trade EU (15.02.2022). Retrieved March 15, 2022, from https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/view/teiet215/default/table?lang=en

Bazavluk S.V. (2021). Vneshniy analiz i kritika evraziyskoy integratsii [Analysis and critics of Eurasian integration from abroad]. Post-Soviet research. (4 (7)). 543-555. (in Russian).

Bezrukov A. E., Ivanov K.A., Chimiris E. S. (2021). Integratsionnye protsessy v Tsentralnoy Azii: stolknovenie interesov vneshnikh aktorov. Gumanitarnye nauki [Integration processes in Central Asia: the clash of interests of external factors]. Bulletin of the Financial University. (11 (3)). 62-70. (in Russian).

Eliseev V. A., Degtiariov I. I. (2019). Functional Variability of Technological Platforms in Innovation Infrastructure Interactive Science. 31-45.

Glazyev S. Yu. (2019). The Big Eurasian Partnership as a Model of a New World Order: from the American to the Asian World Economic Paradigm Journal of Economic Science Research. (2 (3)).

Gokhberg L.M., Gracheva G.A., Ditkovskiy K.A. (2021). Indikatory innovatsionnoy deyatelnosti [Indicators of innovation activity] (in Russian).

Grinberg R. S., Pylin A. G. (2020). Evraziyskiy ekonomicheskiy soyuz. Osnovnye trendy razvitiya na fone globalnoy neopredelennosti [The Eurasian Economic Union. The main development trends against the background of global uncertainty]. Economy of the region. (2). 340-351. (in Russian).

Izotov V.S., Meshkova T.A., Teplov A.S. (2020). Perspektiva formirovaniya edinogo finansovogo rynka EAES s tochki zreniya rossiyskikh interesov: vozmozhnosti i ogranicheniya [The prospect of forming a single financial market of the EAEU from the point of view of Russian interests: opportunities and limitations]. International organisations research journal. (3). 129-152. (in Russian). doi: 10.17323/1996-7845-2020-03-05.

Kalmykov N. N., Ogneva Yu. I. (2017). Drayvery i riski evraziyskoy integratsii: vzglyad ekspertov [Drivers and risks of Eurasian integration: experts' view]. Arkhont. (1). 36-49. (in Russian).

Kharlanov A.S., Shen V. (2021). Potentsial rosta ekonomicheskikh svyazey EAES i Kitaya [Growth potential of economic ties between the eaeu and china]. Innovation and Investment. (7 (21)). 32-37. (in Russian).

Kheyfets B. A., Chernova V. Yu. (2020). Rol Rossii v razvitii integratsionnyh protsessov na razvivayushchikhsya rynkakh [The role of russia in the development of integration processes in emerging markets]. Economy of the region. (2). 625-636. (in Russian).

Klimenko A.F. (2021). Vzaimodeystvie Rossii i Kitaya i rol ShOS v postroenii Bolshogo evraziyskogo partnerstva [Interaction between Russia and China and the role of the SCO in building a Greater Eurasian Partnership]. China in World and Regional Politics (History and Modernity). (3). 31-48. (in Russian). doi: 10.24412/2618-6888-2021-26-31-47.

Kulintsev Yu.V. (2020). Bolshoe evraziyskoe partnerstvo v sisteme regionalnyh integratsionnyh protsessov [The greater eurasian partnership in the system of regional integration processes]. China in World and Regional Politics (History and Modernity). (25). 66 – 79. (in Russian).

Lu N., Lu Sh., Khuan M. (2018). Sotrudnichestvo Kitaya s Rossiey i stranami Tsentralnoy Azii v formate «Odnogo poyasa, odnogo puti» kak faktor razvitiya ShOS [Sino-russian cooperation with central asian states in "one belt - one road format" as sco development factor]. International organisations research journal. (3). 113-127. (in Russian). doi: 10.17323/1996-7845-2018-03-07.

Meshkova T.A., Izotov V.S., Teplov A.S. (2020). Perspektiva formirovaniya edinogo finansovogo rynka EAES s tochki zreniya rossiyskikh interesov: vozmozhnosti i ogranicheniya [Creating a common EAEU financial market: opportunities and limitations from the perspective of Russia's national interests]. International organisations research journal. (3). 129-152. (in Russian). doi: 10.17323/1996-7845-2020-03-05.

National Bureau of Statistics of China (2021). Retrieved March 15, 2022, from https://data.stats.gov.cn/english/easyquery.htm?cn=C01

Nguen K. Kh. (2019). Uglublenie uchastiya Rossii v integratsionnyh protsessakh ASEAN v usloviyakh mirovoy nestabilnosti narastaniya novyh problem i trudnostey v Yugo-Vostochnoy Azii [Russia’s enhanced involvement in ASEAN’s integration processes in the context of global instability, new problems and challenges in Southeast Asia]. Economics and management. (1 (159)). 44-52. (in Russian).

Nikulina O.V., Lemer V.I. (2020). Strategicheskie orientiry innovatsionnogo razvitiya ekonomiki stran-uchastnits EAES [Strategic guidelines for innovative development of the economy of the EAEU member countries]. Journal of Economy and Entrepreneurship. (8(121)). 34-38. (in Russian).

Orlova O. G. (2020). Imperativy ekonomicheskoy integratsii stran Evraziyskogo ekonomicheskogo soyuza [Imperatives of the economic integration of the eurasian economic union countries]. Vestnik Volgogradskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Ekonomika. (1). 183-191. (in Russian). doi: https://doi.Org/10.15688/ek.jvolsu.2020.1.16.

Popova I.M. (2021). Problemy realizatsii tsifrovoy povestki EAES [Problems of implementing the EAEU digital agenda]. International organisations research journal. (1). 127-141. (in Russian). doi: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-01-06.

Sokolova O.Yu., Skvortsova V.A., Antipova Yu.I. (2018). Evraziyskiy ekonomicheskiy soyuz i ekonomicheskiy poyas Shelkovogo puti: problemy i perspektivy sotrudnichestva [Eurasian economic union and economic silk road belt: problems and prospects of cooperation]. Izvestiya vysshikh uchebnyh zavedeniy. Povolzhskiy region. Obschestvennye nauki. (2(46)). 143-154. (in Russian). doi: 10.21685/2072-3016-2018-2-17.

The Global Innovation Index 2016. Winning with Global Innovation (2016). Retrieved March 16, 2022, from https://www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/wipo_pub_gii_2016.pdf

The Global Innovation Index 2017Innovation Feeding the World (2017). Retrieved March 16, 2022, from https://www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/wipo_pub_gii_2017.pdf

The Global Innovation Index 2018Energizing the World with Innovation (2018). Retrieved March 16, 2022, from https://www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/wipo_pub_gii_2018.pdf

The Global Innovation Index 2019Creating Healthy Lives–The Future of Medical Innovation (2019). Retrieved March 16, 2022, from https://www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/wipo_pub_gii_2019.pdf

The Global Innovation Index 2020Who Will Finance Innovation? (2020). Retrieved March 16, 2022, from https://www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/wipo_pub_gii_2020.pdf

Vasyakina E.V. (2020). Otsenka perspektiv razvitiya sotrudnichestva Evraziyskogo ekonomicheskogo soyuza i Kitayskoy narodnoy respubliki skvoz prizmu faktorov evraziyskoy integratsii [Assessment of prospects for the development of cooperation between the eurasian economic union and the republic of china through the prism of eurasian integration factors]. Yuridicheskaya nauka. (11). 108-112. (in Russian).

Viver V.N. (2020). Osveshchenie evraziyskoy integratsii v amerikanskom nauchno-akademicheskom diskurse [Eurasian integration in the american scientific-academic discourse]. International organisations research journal. (3). 44-52. (in Russian). doi: 10.17323/1996-7845-2020-03-12.

World Competitiveness Ranking (2021). Retrieved March 15, 2022, from https://www.imd.org/centers/world-competitiveness-center/rankings/world-competitiveness/

Страница обновлена: 26.04.2025 в 02:07:18