Cities attractive to migrants: rising salaries or housing prices?

Giltman M.A.1, Sumik E.A.1
1 Тюменский государственный университет, Russia

Journal paper

Russian Journal of Labour Economics (РИНЦ, ВАК)
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Volume 6, Number 3 (July-September 2019)

Citation:

Indexed in Russian Science Citation Index: https://elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=41243571
Cited: 5 by 28.06.2023

Abstract:
The article considers the trends in salaries and housing prices in relation to in- or out-migration from the administrative centers of the Ural Federal District: Yekaterinburg, Chelyabinsk, Tyumen, Kurgan, Khanty-Mansiysk and Salekhard. We chose those particular cities because they are located approximately at the same distances from the western and eastern parts of the country, but at the same time they are different in size, level of economic development and migration intensity. The theoretical basis was the theory of local labor markets. The study was conducted on the basis of a comparison of time series for 20002017, using open data from Rosstat. Comparing the dynamics of nominal and real salaries, current and deflated housing prices and migration growth rates in the cities, we came to the conclusion that one of the main assumptions of the theory of local labor markets, which is that higher wages attract migrants what rises local housing prices, in our case-cities is rather fulfilled.

Keywords: labour market, migration, salaries (wages), housing prices

JEL-classification: R31, J61, J31, R23

Highlights:

  •  Согласно модели локальных рынков труда города с более высокой заработной платой притягивают трудовых мигрантов, что повышает цены на жилье.
  •  Среди региональных столиц УрФО наиболее высокая номинальная и реальная заработная плата в 2000–2017 гг. была Ханты-Мансийске и Салехарде.
  •  Наиболее быстрыми темпами заработная плата росла в Екатеринбурге, Челябинске и Тюмени.
  •  В Тюмени, Екатеринбурге и Челябинске сальдо миграции было положительным в каждом году за период 2000–2017 гг.
  •  В целом за 2000–2017 гг. наиболее существенно выросло население городов Тюмени, Ханты-Мансийска и Салехарда.
  •  Наиболее высокие цены на жилье сложились в Екатеринбурге, Тюмени, Ханты-Мансийске и Салехарде.

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