Forecast revenue from sales in the field of physical culture and recreation activities
Zilbershteyn O.B.1
, Kotov V.V.2, Shklyar T.L.3
1 Консалтинговое бюро «Рыжая панда»
2 НАНО ВО Институт Мировых Цивилизаций
3 Российский экономический университет им. Г.В. Плеханова
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Journal paper
Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship *
Volume 20, Number 4 (April 2019)
* Этот журнал не выпускается в Первом экономическом издательстве
Abstract:
The purpose of the article is to familiarize readers with the results of the study of the dynamics of total revenue from sales in the field of "Sports and recreation activities" and the forecast of changes in this indicator. To achieve the goal in the article: the characteristic of the object of study is given; the calculated indicators of dynamics (annual growth rates, average growth rates and absolute values of average growth) of total revenue from the sale of all enterprises and organizations of the industry are suggested; the calculated indices of seasonality (by constant average and moving average) are shown; trend lines for growth rates are constructed. The results of forecasts of total revenue in the industry are shown. To solve the tasks and achieve the goal, general logical methods of cognition, statistical analysis of growth rates, graphical analysis were used. The main result presented in the article is the forecast values of total revenue in the industry. As a scientific novelty, we can consider the seasonality identified by us and, accordingly, the quarterly assessment of the influence of the seasonality factor on revenue. The practical significance of the article is that its main results, provisions and conclusions can be used in the development of a strategy for the development of sports complex, management and investment decisions. The data obtained in the article will be useful for scientists,economists, scientific and pedagogical workers to expand and deepen understanding of the dynamics of total revenue in the field of "Sports and recreation activities". The methodological base of the article can serve as an example in the formation of research competencies of students, undergraduates and graduate students.
Keywords: forecast, analysis, industry, sport, physical culture, revenue, growth rate, the economy, activities health and fitness, index of seasonality, forecast revenue, forecast of development of the industry, sphere of physical culture and sport, industry of sport, the largest enterprises, federal districts of the Russian Federation
JEL-classification: Z29, Z23, Z21
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