Goals and problems of import substitution policy in developing countries
Tagarov B.Zh.1
1 Байкальский государственный университет
Download PDF | Downloads: 33 | Citations: 2
Journal paper
Journal of International Economic Affairs (РИНЦ, ВАК)
опубликовать статью | оформить подписку
Volume 9, Number 4 (October-December 2019)
Indexed in Russian Science Citation Index: https://elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=42446297
Cited: 2 by 05.09.2022
Abstract:
The high level of import dependency of the Russian economy causes the need to develop and implement measures to overcome it, as well as to analyze the factors that impede this process. This paper highlights the main objectives of import substitution policy from the standpoint of structuralist and non-Keynesian theories. Some foreign and Russian experience in this field is briefly considered. It is shown that, despite the active actions of the Russian government, the level of imports decreases at a low rate. The author considers the fundamental problems hampering effective implementation of this policy in developing countries, such as: a strong influence of political interests on the economy, the inflexibility of the state apparatus, the influence of the interests of small groups for the distribution of the allocated resources, the need to meet the demands of the electorate, the complexity of the restructuring of the economy and structure of human capital and the problem of network effects.
Keywords: industry, import substitution, foreign trade, import dependency, economy of Russia
JEL-classification: F52, F51, F14
References:
0,6% ВВП составят расходы на образование в 2019 годуIq.hse.ru. (in Russian). Retrieved from https://iq.hse.ru/news/195001481.html
Balashova M.A., Popova Yu.S. (2018). Innovatsionnoe razvitie rossiyskoy ekonomiki: samostoyatelnyy put ili kooperirovanie [Innovative development of the Russian economy: an independent path or cooperation]. Baikal Research Journal. 9 (3). (in Russian). doi: 10.17150/2411-6262.2018.9(3).9.
Bazhanov V.A., Mkrtchyan M.G. (2015). Ob odnom sposobe rascheta investitsiy dlya importozameshcheniya prodovolstvennyh produktov [On a Method for Calculation of Investments Aimed at Import Substitution of Food Products]. Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship. 16 (3(273)). 453-462. (in Russian). doi: 10.18334/rp.16.3.85.
Berezinskaya O.B., Vedev A.L. (2015). Proizvodstvennaya zavisimost rossiyskoy promyshlennosti ot importa i mekhanizm strategicheskogo importozameshcheniya [Dependency of the Russian industry on importsand the Strategy of import Substitution industrialization]. Voprosy Ekonomiki. (1). 103-115. (in Russian). doi: 10.32609/0042-8736-2015-1-103-115 .
Bratchenko S.A. (2015). Rol investitsionnoy privlekatelnosti v upravlenii ekonomikoy [The role of investment attractiveness in the management of the economy]. Economics and management: problems, solutions (Ekonomika i upravleniye: problemy, resheniya nauchno-prakticheskiy zhurnal). 2 (12). 68-71. (in Russian).
Dokholyan S.V., Vartanova M.L. (2017). Strategiya razvitiya agrarnoy sfery strany v usloviyakh zameshcheniya importa tovarami otechestvennogo proizvodstva – osnova prodovolstvennoy bezopasnosti [Strategy for the development of country''s agrarian sector in terms of import substitution with domestic production is the basis for food security]. Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship. 18 (12). 1877-1904. (in Russian). doi: 10.18334/rp.18.12.38047.
Ershov P.A. (2017). Importozameshchenie i politika importozameshcheniya:teoreticheskiy podkhod k opredeleniyu ponyatiy [Import substitution and import replacement policy:a theoretical approach to the definition of these concepts]. Bulletin of the Institute of Economics of RAS. (2). 147-157. (in Russian).
Evtyukhin A.S. (2016). Rol investitsiy v politike importozameshcheniya neftyanoy promyshlennosti Rossii [Role of investments for the import phase-out policy in the Russian oil industry]. Creative economy. (10). 1090-1102. (in Russian). doi: 10.18334/ce.10.10.36615.
Isaeva E.V. (2018). Otsenka potentsiala importozameshcheniya otrasley otechestvennoy promyshlennosti i printsip otbora proektov po importozameshcheniyu [Assessment of potential import substitution industries and the principle of selection of projects on import substitution]. Economic sciences. (169). 58-60. (in Russian). doi: 10.14451/1.169.58 .
Kozyreva E.V., Novikova N.V. (2015). Opyt realizatsii politiki importozameshcheniya i eksportnoy orientatsii v zarubezhnyh stranakh [Experience of import substitution policy in Brazil and Taiwan]. Bulletin of Tver State University. Series: Economics and Management. (3). 241-247. (in Russian).
Makarova G.N., Rudyakov V.A. (2019). Transformatsiya kriteriev effektivnosti ekonomicheskoy deyatelnosti stran v usloviyakh sovremennoy modeli globalizatsii [Transformation of Criteria for the Efficiency of Economic Activities of Countries in the Context of the Modern Model of Globalization]. Istoriko-ekonomicheskie issledovaniya. 20 (2). 261-293. (in Russian). doi: 10.17150/23082488.2019.20(2).261-293.
Paramonova T.N., Uryaseva T.I., Ramazanov I.A. (2015). Rynok legkoy i tekstilnoy promyshlennosti v period importozameshcheniya [The Market of Light and Textile Industry during the Import Substitution Period]. Russian Journal of Retail Management. (1). 53-66. (in Russian). doi: 10.18334/tezh.3.1.35072.
Pobyvaev S.A., Tolkachev S.A. (2015). Reindustrializatsiya v ES i SShA [The re-industrialization in the united states and the eu]. The world of new economy. (2). 29-36. (in Russian).
Raynert E.S. (2011). Kak bogatye strany stali bogatymi, i pochemu bednye strany ostayutsya bednymi [How rich countries got rich ... and why poor countries stay poor] M.: Izd. dom Gos. un-ta-Vysshey shkoly ekonomiki. (in Russian).
Rudyakov V.A. (2016). Vliyanie faktora neopredelennosti na razvitie ekonomicheskogo krizisa v Rossii [Influence of Uncertainty Factor on Development of Economic Crisis in Russia]. Nauka i tekhnika. (2). 1664-170. (in Russian).
Samarukha A.V., Makarova G.N. (2019). Proektirovanie promyshlennoy tekhnologicheskoy revolyutsii na printsipakh ustoychivogo razvitiya, s uchetom protivodeystviya nedobrosovestnoy konkurentsii [Design of Industrial Technological Revolution on the Principles of Sustainable Development, Taking into Account Counteraction of Unfair Competition]. Baikal Research Journal. 10 (2). 9. (in Russian). doi: 10.17150/2411-6262.2019.10(2).9.
Shirokova O.V., Nazarenko V.S. (2017). Gosudarstvennaya politika importozameshcheniya: predvaritelnye itogi i tendentsii [Public policy of import substitution: preliminary results and trends]. Journal of International Economic Affairs. 7 (4). 343-356. (in Russian). doi: 10.18334/eo.7.4.38431.
Simachev Yu., Kuzyk M., Zudin N. (2016). Importozavisimost i importozameshchenie v rossiyskoy obrabatyvayushchey promyshlennosti: vzglyad biznesa [Import dependency and import substitution in the Russian manufacturing industry: business view]. Foresight. 10 (4). 25-45. (in Russian). doi: 10.17323/1995-459X.2016.4.25.45 .
Smorodinskaya N.V., Katukov D.D., Malygin V.E. (2019). Shumpeterianskaya teoriya rosta v kontekste perekhoda ekonomicheskikh sistem k innovatsionnomu razvitiyu [Shumpeterian Growth Theory in the Context of the Innovation-Led Transition of Economies]. Journal of Institutional Studies. 11 (2). 60-78. (in Russian). doi: 10.17835/2076-6297.2019.11.2.060-078.
Sukhodolov A.P., Sukhodolov Ya.A. (2019). Sovremennoe sostoyanie i osnovnye tendentsii razvitiya vneshney torgovli Dalnevostochnogo federalnogo okruga [Current State and Main Trends of Foreign Trade Development in Far Eastern Federal District]. Bulletin of Baikal State University. 29 (3). 406-415. (in Russian). doi: 10.17150/25002759.2019.29(3).406-415.
Tishina L.I. (2018). Importozavisimost rossiyskoy ekonomiki po produktsii obrabatyvayushchikh proizvodstv v 2011-2015 gg [The dependence on import of the Russian economy on manufacturing activity's products in 2011-2015]. Russian economic online journal. (2). 92. (in Russian).
Tsedilin L.I. (2014). Protektsionizm v rossiyskoy ekonomicheskoy politike: institutsionalnyy istoricheskiy opyt [Protectionism in the Russian economic policy: institutional historical experience] M.: Institut ekonomiki RAN. (in Russian).
Vatolkina N.Sh., Gorbunova N.V. (2015). Importozameshchenie: zarubezhnyy opyt, instrumenty i effekty [Import substitution: international experience, instruments]. St. Petersburg Polytechnic University Journal of Engineering Science and Technology. (6(233)). 29-39. (in Russian). doi: 10.5862/JE.233.3 .
Внешняя торговляGks.ru. (in Russian). Retrieved from https://www.gks.ru/folder/11193
Правительство в 2019-2020 годах выделило 1,3 трлн рублей на импортозамещениеEr.ru. (in Russian). Retrieved from https://er.ru/news/188475
Россия в цифрахGks.ru. Retrieved from https://gks.ru/bgd/regl/b19_11/Main.htm
Статистика показала провал курса на импортозамещение в РоссииForbes.ru. Retrieved from https://www.forbes.ru/finansy-i-investicii/371727-statistika-pokazala-proval-kursa-na-importozameshchenie-v-rossii
Balashova M.A., Popova Yu.S. (2018). Innovatsionnoe razvitie rossiyskoy ekonomiki: samostoyatelnyy put ili kooperirovanie [Innovative development of the Russian economy: an independent path or cooperation]. Baikal Research Journal. 9 (3). (in Russian). doi: 10.17150/2411-6262.2018.9(3).9.
Bazhanov V.A., Mkrtchyan M.G. (2015). Ob odnom sposobe rascheta investitsiy dlya importozameshcheniya prodovolstvennyh produktov [On a Method for Calculation of Investments Aimed at Import Substitution of Food Products]. Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship. 16 (3(273)). 453-462. (in Russian). doi: 10.18334/rp.16.3.85.
Berezinskaya O.B., Vedev A.L. (2015). Proizvodstvennaya zavisimost rossiyskoy promyshlennosti ot importa i mekhanizm strategicheskogo importozameshcheniya [Dependency of the Russian industry on importsand the Strategy of import Substitution industrialization]. Voprosy Ekonomiki. (1). 103-115. (in Russian). doi: 10.32609/0042-8736-2015-1-103-115 .
Bratchenko S.A. (2015). Rol investitsionnoy privlekatelnosti v upravlenii ekonomikoy [The role of investment attractiveness in the management of the economy]. Economics and management: problems, solutions (Ekonomika i upravleniye: problemy, resheniya nauchno-prakticheskiy zhurnal). 2 (12). 68-71. (in Russian).
Dokholyan S.V., Vartanova M.L. (2017). Strategiya razvitiya agrarnoy sfery strany v usloviyakh zameshcheniya importa tovarami otechestvennogo proizvodstva – osnova prodovolstvennoy bezopasnosti [Strategy for the development of country''s agrarian sector in terms of import substitution with domestic production is the basis for food security]. Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship. 18 (12). 1877-1904. (in Russian). doi: 10.18334/rp.18.12.38047.
Ershov P.A. (2017). Importozameshchenie i politika importozameshcheniya:teoreticheskiy podkhod k opredeleniyu ponyatiy [Import substitution and import replacement policy:a theoretical approach to the definition of these concepts]. Bulletin of the Institute of Economics of RAS. (2). 147-157. (in Russian).
Evtyukhin A.S. (2016). Rol investitsiy v politike importozameshcheniya neftyanoy promyshlennosti Rossii [Role of investments for the import phase-out policy in the Russian oil industry]. Creative economy. (10). 1090-1102. (in Russian). doi: 10.18334/ce.10.10.36615.
Isaeva E.V. (2018). Otsenka potentsiala importozameshcheniya otrasley otechestvennoy promyshlennosti i printsip otbora proektov po importozameshcheniyu [Assessment of potential import substitution industries and the principle of selection of projects on import substitution]. Economic sciences. (169). 58-60. (in Russian). doi: 10.14451/1.169.58 .
Kozyreva E.V., Novikova N.V. (2015). Opyt realizatsii politiki importozameshcheniya i eksportnoy orientatsii v zarubezhnyh stranakh [Experience of import substitution policy in Brazil and Taiwan]. Bulletin of Tver State University. Series: Economics and Management. (3). 241-247. (in Russian).
Makarova G.N., Rudyakov V.A. (2019). Transformatsiya kriteriev effektivnosti ekonomicheskoy deyatelnosti stran v usloviyakh sovremennoy modeli globalizatsii [Transformation of Criteria for the Efficiency of Economic Activities of Countries in the Context of the Modern Model of Globalization]. Istoriko-ekonomicheskie issledovaniya. 20 (2). 261-293. (in Russian). doi: 10.17150/23082488.2019.20(2).261-293.
Paramonova T.N., Uryaseva T.I., Ramazanov I.A. (2015). Rynok legkoy i tekstilnoy promyshlennosti v period importozameshcheniya [The Market of Light and Textile Industry during the Import Substitution Period]. Russian Journal of Retail Management. (1). 53-66. (in Russian). doi: 10.18334/tezh.3.1.35072.
Pobyvaev S.A., Tolkachev S.A. (2015). Reindustrializatsiya v ES i SShA [The re-industrialization in the united states and the eu]. The world of new economy. (2). 29-36. (in Russian).
Raynert E.S. (2011). Kak bogatye strany stali bogatymi, i pochemu bednye strany ostayutsya bednymi [How rich countries got rich ... and why poor countries stay poor] M.: Izd. dom Gos. un-ta-Vysshey shkoly ekonomiki. (in Russian).
Rudyakov V.A. (2016). Vliyanie faktora neopredelennosti na razvitie ekonomicheskogo krizisa v Rossii [Influence of Uncertainty Factor on Development of Economic Crisis in Russia]. Nauka i tekhnika. (2). 1664-170. (in Russian).
Samarukha A.V., Makarova G.N. (2019). Proektirovanie promyshlennoy tekhnologicheskoy revolyutsii na printsipakh ustoychivogo razvitiya, s uchetom protivodeystviya nedobrosovestnoy konkurentsii [Design of Industrial Technological Revolution on the Principles of Sustainable Development, Taking into Account Counteraction of Unfair Competition]. Baikal Research Journal. 10 (2). 9. (in Russian). doi: 10.17150/2411-6262.2019.10(2).9.
Shirokova O.V., Nazarenko V.S. (2017). Gosudarstvennaya politika importozameshcheniya: predvaritelnye itogi i tendentsii [Public policy of import substitution: preliminary results and trends]. Journal of International Economic Affairs. 7 (4). 343-356. (in Russian). doi: 10.18334/eo.7.4.38431.
Simachev Yu., Kuzyk M., Zudin N. (2016). Importozavisimost i importozameshchenie v rossiyskoy obrabatyvayushchey promyshlennosti: vzglyad biznesa [Import dependency and import substitution in the Russian manufacturing industry: business view]. Foresight. 10 (4). 25-45. (in Russian). doi: 10.17323/1995-459X.2016.4.25.45 .
Smorodinskaya N.V., Katukov D.D., Malygin V.E. (2019). Shumpeterianskaya teoriya rosta v kontekste perekhoda ekonomicheskikh sistem k innovatsionnomu razvitiyu [Shumpeterian Growth Theory in the Context of the Innovation-Led Transition of Economies]. Journal of Institutional Studies. 11 (2). 60-78. (in Russian). doi: 10.17835/2076-6297.2019.11.2.060-078.
Sukhodolov A.P., Sukhodolov Ya.A. (2019). Sovremennoe sostoyanie i osnovnye tendentsii razvitiya vneshney torgovli Dalnevostochnogo federalnogo okruga [Current State and Main Trends of Foreign Trade Development in Far Eastern Federal District]. Bulletin of Baikal State University. 29 (3). 406-415. (in Russian). doi: 10.17150/25002759.2019.29(3).406-415.
Tishina L.I. (2018). Importozavisimost rossiyskoy ekonomiki po produktsii obrabatyvayushchikh proizvodstv v 2011-2015 gg [The dependence on import of the Russian economy on manufacturing activity's products in 2011-2015]. Russian economic online journal. (2). 92. (in Russian).
Tsedilin L.I. (2014). Protektsionizm v rossiyskoy ekonomicheskoy politike: institutsionalnyy istoricheskiy opyt [Protectionism in the Russian economic policy: institutional historical experience] M.: Institut ekonomiki RAN. (in Russian).
Vatolkina N.Sh., Gorbunova N.V. (2015). Importozameshchenie: zarubezhnyy opyt, instrumenty i effekty [Import substitution: international experience, instruments]. St. Petersburg Polytechnic University Journal of Engineering Science and Technology. (6(233)). 29-39. (in Russian). doi: 10.5862/JE.233.3 .
Внешняя торговляGks.ru. (in Russian). Retrieved from https://www.gks.ru/folder/11193
Правительство в 2019-2020 годах выделило 1,3 трлн рублей на импортозамещениеEr.ru. (in Russian). Retrieved from https://er.ru/news/188475
Россия в цифрахGks.ru. Retrieved from https://gks.ru/bgd/regl/b19_11/Main.htm
Статистика показала провал курса на импортозамещение в РоссииForbes.ru. Retrieved from https://www.forbes.ru/finansy-i-investicii/371727-statistika-pokazala-proval-kursa-na-importozameshchenie-v-rossii
Страница обновлена: 24.04.2025 в 09:02:29